"Approx. 2.5 billion+ Active droid phones: 10% have 32 Bit chip... consider a modest 0.01% of eligible 32bit chip phones to have pogo installed = 25,000 monthly active users who'd be stranded few weeks from now . The actual no. would much much higher than 25,000 because of following reasons..."

#PokemonGO: My above calculation EXCLUDES millions of phones with 32 Bit OS on 64 Bit processors...TLDR: A minimum of 1- 5% of their android monthly active player count would be stranded in a couple of months . That range is on the modest side of the estimate & every single percentage corresponds to roughly 0.25 Million accounts that would not be able to play until they get a new device .....But then again quite a few new-ish android devices released in the past 2 years are still not with the '64 bit' OS10X times the final figure of 25K i.e at least 250000 monthly active players , could very well be a closer estimate of the actual number of users that Niantic is giving the short end of the stick come this august.... ( this is my conjecture if 64 bit soc with 32 bit OS phones are also included & 0.01% is slightly increased to account for various factors like baby accounts etc )​My Rationale on why it is a modest estimate & could be actually be much much higher :This link is for the total Number of smartphones in the world & current estimates are that Android has roughly 90 % market share. Factoring the market share of android & growth of the smartphone users worldwide the total number of android smartphones right now the actual number of android smartphones will be closer to 3 billion . But I'm going for the lowest possible estimate here as I'm excluding the small percentage of users who are still on kitkat & below & those with rooted devices & less than 2GB RAM etc. There are numerous other factors which can be ignored in the calculation . So 2.5 billion android devices can play Pogo on their device as the software & hardware requirements meet the criteria. 2.5 billion out of total 3 billion total android phones doesn't sound farfetched imhoIn 2019 more than 10% android smartphones were 32 bit chip ones . I'm assuming there is 1 smartphone for every 10 among the 2.5 Billion that is not on 64 Bit.... Again within the range as i did not include the 32 bit OS on 64 bit chip ones . The actual number would be far higher than 10% but lets just go with 10% for the sake of simplicityI am assuming there is 1 device for every 10000 android devices with 32 BIT S.O.C chips that have Pokemon go installed & that they use it atleast once a month ( This is just an arbitrary number to calculate a rough estimate as I have to make some assumption to come up with a concrete number even if it could be a very very rough approximation )So Basically I am saying that among the monthly active android pogo users which would total around 25 million unique users per month atleast 0.25 million users amongst the 25 million will be left in the lurk . viz. 1% of the android MAU of pogo will be shown the exit door )I'm going out on a limb & saying At the very least 1% of their android clientbase will be booted out due to them discontinuing support but 5% could be a closer estimate i.e. The number of active android users of pokemon go in the month of september will around 5% less than it was in the month of july !NOTES:Take the estimate with a pinch of salt & If you feel the Numbers are way off let me know . I'd love to refine the approximate . I am excluding Phones that do not meet the criteria of not having lollipop i.e. Android 5.0 version and above , RAM requirements , Rooted phones & so on so forth . There are many other factors that are simply not taken in account but i would still throw my weight on my estimate that minimum 1 - 5% of their total android users will be screwed over.....The number 0.25 Million per 1 % is not exaggerated & is probably on the lower end of the spectrum This estimate makes numerous other estimates & factors , But i Still believe it could still end up screwing around 5% of their android userbase if not more .....I've also made a few assumptions that monthly active android pogo users would number 25 million plus which is also in the range i personally believe...... So Out of those 25 million android MAU around 0.25 million users ( 1% of All android pogo users sounds plausible enough & DEFINITELY not inflated )I can only hope if their intentions to streamline the development process of their game & to make the game far less buggy are successful. Amen . via /r/TheSilphRoad https://ift.tt/2Y13vLS