"Just how rare is a wild Pokemon with 90% IVs? (Table inside)"

#PokemonGO: RE-EDIT: And we have liftoff! These numbers agree very well with a big batch of about 730,000 observed wild Pokemon IV counts. You can see more on The Silph Road here. END RE-EDITA very good question was asked the other day (props to, er, /u/AssScabies). I didn't get all the details right in my comment, didn't exactly answer the question asked, plus I thought a good answer might warrant its own post. With only slight further ado, I present the table:The Total IVs are just that; a 6/8/10 Pokemon would have a total of 24. Perfection is Total IVs/45 as a percent. The Chances of this column is the percentage of wild Pokemon you'd expect with this number of Total IVs, calculated by Possibilities/163, where the Possibilities is a count of all possible IV combinations for a Pokemon with the given number of Total IVs (e.g. 1 way to be perfect, 3 ways to have 44 total IVs, etc).Total IVsPerfection (%)Chances of finding better (%)Chances of this (%)Possibilities00.0099.980.02112.2299.900.07324.4499.760.15636.6799.510.241048.8999.150.3715511.1198.630.5121613.3397.950.6828715.5697.070.8836817.7895.971.1045920.0094.631.34551022.2293.021.61661124.4491.111.90781226.6788.892.22911328.8986.332.561051431.1183.402.931201533.3380.083.321361635.5676.423.661501737.7872.463.961621840.0068.264.201721942.2263.874.391802044.4459.334.541862146.6754.694.641902248.8950.004.691922351.1145.314.691922453.3340.674.641902555.5636.134.541862657.7831.744.391802760.0027.544.201722862.2223.583.961622964.4419.923.661503066.6716.603.321363168.8913.672.931203271.1111.112.561053373.338.892.22913475.566.981.90783577.785.371.61663680.004.031.34553782.222.931.10453884.442.050.88363986.671.370.68284088.890.850.51214191.110.490.37154293.330.240.24104395.560.100.1564497.780.020.07345100.000.000.021Assumptions: Now that the pokedex bug is fixed, I've assumed that each wild Pokemon has a 0-15 dice rolled for each of its three IV categories, so that 10/5/13 is as likely as 5/13/10 or 15/15/15 (but of course, there are many more IV combinations for 28 total IVs compared to 45 total). Egg hatching would not be included here, since it is believed that the IV probabilities are considerably different.Commentary: 100% perfection is quite rare, but even 90% or better is pretty rare as well; theres only about a 0.5% chance (still nearly 50 times more likely than perfect, at 0.02%) of finding one. Even IVs many would consider bad aren't that common. For example, take 30/45 IVs, or 66.6% perfection. You might expect 1/3 of all wild Pokemon to have better IVs, when (in theory) only 1/6 of all Pokemon should. At 80% perfection, it's not 20% of wild Pokemon with better IVs, it's only 4%, and for the 90% example earlier, not 10% of wild Pokemon better but a scant 0.5%.Finally, we'll look at the likelihood of various team appraisals.AppraisalPerfectionLikelihoodBest82.2--100%4.03%2nd Best66.7--80.0%15.89%2nd Worst51.1--64.4%30.08%Worst00.0--48.9%50.00%So, there we go! As far as catching wild pokemon (again, not hatching) goes, this is a bit of data you might find interesting. Those of you waiting for better IVs can take pride in the fact that it's not an easy thing to do, and anyone happy with the IVs they have can be relieved by the amount of catching they won't be doing to hit a certain threshold. via /r/pokemongo http://ift.tt/2dkvrlv