"[Hypothesis] T5 reward bundles now contain only 1 rare candy per bundle (nerfed from 3), and T4 reward bundles now contain 3 rare candies (buffed from 2)."

#PokemonGO: EDIT: T3 reward bundles now also contain 3 rare candies.(I know TSR is probably doing research on this, but I think it's important to raise awareness now so that we can quickly gather more evidence to confirm or disprove the hypothesis.)Several trainers have reported getting 1 or 2 rare candies from Tier 5 raids, such as this post. However, reading through those posts, it wasn't immediately clear how exactly were the rewards changed, and whether this ties into the reward bundle system that we know since the introduction of raids. Most people also didn't report anything other than "getting only 1 rare candy", such as the number of balls/bundles they received and the full list of rewards.I propose the following hypothesis (as shown in title, elaborated here):The possible rare candy reward from each Tier 5 reward bundle has been changed from 3 rare candies per bundle (see old TSR study here) to 1 rare candy per bundle. (Other reward bundles remain unchanged, such as 3 hyper potions, 3 revives and 2 golden razzes)The possible rare candy reward from each Tier 4 reward bundle has been changed from 2 rare candies per bundle to 3 rare candies per bundle. (EDIT: This applies to Tier 3 too.)The number of bundles rewarded from raids remain unchanged. (An old study regarding the number of bundles can be found here, which confirmed it's directly related to the raid tier and number of balls excluding friendship balls.)Having only done 1 Cobalion raid myself since the change, I don't have nearly enough evidence to confirm this; however, my observations after getting 8 bundles appear to be in line with the hypothesis. I have also looked at the screenshots of other players in that post and, while I'm unable to know how many bundles they got, the rewards do seem to correspond to what should have happened with 6-7 reward bundles. Furthermore, the report of getting 15 rare candies from a Tier 4 raid seem to agree with the second bullet point of the hypothesis.Please report here with the number of damage balls/reward bundles you got and the actual rewards you received. If the hypothesis is false, it shouldn't take too much to disprove it.(If the hypothesis is true, it means the expected number of rare candies you get from each raid is now 1/3 of what it was before. However, the chance of getting a charged TM should remain unchanged, although it's not confirmed since the most recent study on charged TM drop rates was from 2 years ago.) via /r/TheSilphRoad https://ift.tt/33TOPPk