"[Analysis] If all three base stats are tied, Tyrogue has a 50% chance of evolving into Hitmontop and 25% each for the other two"

#PokemonGO: Yesterday, I had posted a survey requesting inputs from people who had a Tyrogue with two or more stats tied. Thank you all for your response, we collected 375 data points.For the cases where two stats are tied, it appears that there is a 50/50 chance as to which evolution will occur, as expected.However, the data suggest a non-random pattern when all three stats are tied. Here's the analysis.We collected 93 data points for when all three stats are tied, with the following results: 45 Top, 23 Chan, 25 Lee. I conducted a Pearson's Chi-squared test with 2 degrees of freedom to see if these results are statistically significant from the null hypothesis that the data come from a random distribution. I obtained a one-tailed critical value of 9.54, which yields a p value < 0.01. Thus, I will conclude that when all three stats are tied, we can reject the null hypothesis that it is random which evolution occurs.Based on the distribution, we have approximately a 2:1:1 ratio of Top:Chan:Lee, indicating that if all three stats are tied, there is a 50% chance of evolving into a Hitmontop. via /r/TheSilphRoad http://ift.tt/2oNxAL6