"Sinnoh Stone Drop Rate (1 in 7 Chance) - FINAL ANALYSIS"

#PokemonGO: *** ANALYSIS WITH 20 DAYS OF BATTLE DATA (on 12/31/2018) \*\**PvP has been out for (20) days and I've compiled and analyzed data from (1,200) reward-eligible Master League PvP battles. The data was aggregated to include both Team Leader Master League Battles (300) and direct PvP Master League battles (900). This analysis has followed 15 unique accounts for 20 consecutive days 15 x (20 x 4) = 1,200 reward-eligible battles.​CONCLUSIONSThe analysis of this data set for 1,200 total Master League Training + PvP battles found that the chance for "Any Sinnoh Stone" drop is 14.4% (~1 in 7).Individual chances at Sinnoh stone:The range of Sinnoh Stones received is 7 to 16 (after 20 days / 80 reward-eligible battles).Stats on the Sinnoh Stones received across 15 unique accounts followed longitudinally for 20 days:Average Sinnoh Stone Drops12.2Standard Deviation-/+ 2.9Median13Mode14​The findings are consistent with jeff_the_weatherman's survey that found a Sinnoh Stone drop rate of 12.5% (1 in 8). http://bit.ly/2QeJjiy original "Initial Analysis" 16.0% (1 in 7) chance can be found at:http://bit.ly/2VldxEo Data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FaS3DBTPCR-tEUTkyv3Z8FBcVhEWSBmxjWEX29HIfQY/edit#gid=1418670767​Chance of Any Sinnoh Stone (i.e. Sinnoh Stone x 1, Sinnoh Stone x 1 + 500 Dust, Sinnoh Stone x2)CountDrop RateChance of Any Sinnoh Stone (n = 1,200 battles)17114.4% (~1 in 7)​Drop Rates for Combined Reward-Eligible Master League "TRAINING + PvP" Battles (n = 1,200)CountDrop RateSinnoh Stone x 114211.8%500 Dust95479.5%Sinnoh Stone x 1 + 500 Dust282.3%500 Dust x 2756.3%Sinnoh Stone x 210.1%TOTAL1,200100.0%​Drop Rates for Reward-Eligible Master League "TRAINING" Battles (n = 300)CountDrop RateSinnoh Stone x 13010.0%500 Dust24280.7%Sinnoh Stone x 1 + 500 Dust62.0%500 Dust x 2227.3%Sinnoh Stone x 200.0%TOTAL105100.0%​Drop Rates for Reward-Eligible PvP Master League Battles (n = 900)CountDrop RateSinnoh Stone x 111212.4%500 Dust71279.1%Sinnoh Stone x 1 + 500 Dust222.4%500 Dust x 2535.9%Sinnoh Stone x 210.1%TOTAL315100.0%​Sinnoh Stone Drops Comparison of Winners vs Losers (n = 900)Sinnoh StonesBattlesDrop RatePvP Winners7048014.6%PvP Losers7742018.3%TOTAL14790016.5%​Breakdown for Total Number of BundlesCountDrop Rate1 Bundle1,09691.3%2 Bundles1048.7%Assumption: 1 Bundle = 500 Dust or Sinnoh Stone x 1​Distribution of Sinnoh Stones Received from 24 Total Training/PvP Battles (n = 15 unique accounts)Sinnoh Stones ReceivedIndividual Sinnoh Stone Drop Rate78.8%1417.5%810.0%1215.0%1316.3%1215.0%1518.8%1417.5%810.0%1620.0%1417.5%1417.5%810.0%1518.8%1316.3%TOTAL Sinnoh Stones Received = 171​Note: The data set used for the analysis record the specific items for the rewards (i.e. Sinnoh Stone x1, Sinnoh Stone x 1 + 500 Dust, 500 Dust x 2 or Sinnoh Stone x 2).​​ via /r/TheSilphRoad http://bit.ly/2Qcyduh