"Updated 2016 Lucky Rates"

#PokemonGO: I did 50 trades today all involving currently caught Pokemon for Pokemon caught during July 2016 using an old account with a few hundred 7/2016 stuff banked and recorded my findings. My knowledge of statistical analysis is largely forgotten by now so please correct me if my math is wrong, but here are my findings.​Out of 50 trades, 5 of them were lucky, resulting in an average lucky rate of 10%, matching the old Silph findings of >1 year old Pokemon but significantly lower than the previous rates for >2 years old and 7/2016 and 8/2016 Pokemon.​Here is a table to compare to the old Silph Road findings​​Lucky PercentageLower 95% CIUpper 95% CI# of Data PointsNEW Test Jul 201610.00%1.43%18.56%50TSR 1 Year9.94%7.38%12.50%523TSR 2 Years24.00%14.33%33.67%75TSR Jul/Aug 201670.97%61.74%80.20%93​Here is the spreadsheet I used to keep track of my trades: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-NVVztpM_7oBJ-9RskswUCflKM12OWqcLYa4pb-GPXM/edit?usp=sharing​I still have a couple hundred 2016 things to test with, but I think this is a sufficient number of recorded data points to prove what others have recently noticed: 2016 lucky rates are much, much lower than what TSR recorded previously.​Again, my numbers might be off so please feel free to correct my math.EDIT: Verification of trades: http://bit.ly/2PaSMse via /r/TheSilphRoad http://bit.ly/2ZbBxeQ