"Predicted Forced Nest Migrations if Pikachu, or Pikachu & Aipom, are Removed as Nesting Species for the Detective Pikachu Event"

#PokemonGO: Howdy! I've received some requests for tables of predicted nest migrations - the two most likely scenarios, if any nest migration happens, is that either Pikachu is removed from the list of nesting species, or that both Pikachu and Aipom will be removed. Pikachu being removed is very likely, as wild Pikachu spawns (including nests) were suppressed for the April Fools Photobomb event. Aipom will likely only be removed if its shiny rate is higher for the event than the typical baseline in-the-wild shiny rate, and that doesn't seem particularly likely, but we should examine that scenario as well.First though, for those of you who don't understand what the heck I'm talking about, here's some citations. The current nesting species list and the methods for predicting forced nest migrations was identified through the hard work of u/Zyxwgh , u/ClyPhox , u/DarshDarsh21 and u/SnipeThemAll. If you want to understand more of how we can make these predictions or to learn more about how nests work, I recommending reading posts that u/Zyxwgh has made on the topic, particularly:http://bit.ly/2Jl7H24, so here's the forced migration list if Pikachu is removed from the nesting species list:oldNestingSpeciesNewNestingSpecies1NewNestingSpecies2BulbasaurBulbasaur (100%)NACharmanderBulbasaur (1.2%)Charmander (98.8%)SquirtleCharmander (2.3%)Squirtle (97.7%)PikachuSquirtle (3.5%)Clefairy (96.5%)ClefairyClefairy (4.7%)Vulpix (95.3%)VulpixVulpix (5.8%)Oddish (94.2%)OddishOddish (7%)Psyduck (93%)PsyduckPsyduck (8.1%)Growlithe (91.9%)GrowlitheGrowlithe (9.3%)Poliwag (90.7%)PoliwagPoliwag (10.5%)Abra (89.5%)AbraAbra (11.6%)Machop (88.4%)MachopMachop (12.8%)Tentacool (87.2%)TentacoolTentacool (14%)Ponyta (86%)PonytaPonyta (15.1%)Magnemite (84.9%)MagnemiteMagnemite (16.3%)Doduo (83.7%)DoduoDoduo (17.4%)Seel (82.6%)SeelSeel (18.6%)Shellder (81.4%)ShellderShellder (19.8%)Gastly (80.2%)GastlyGastly (20.9%)Onix (79.1%)OnixOnix (22.1%)Voltorb (77.9%)VoltorbVoltorb (23.3%)Exeggcute (76.7%)ExeggcuteExeggcute (24.4%)Cubone (75.6%)CuboneCubone (25.6%)Rhyhorn (74.4%)RhyhornRhyhorn (26.7%)Horsea (73.3%)HorseaHorsea (27.9%)Scyther (72.1%)ScytherScyther (29.1%)Jynx (70.9%)JynxJynx (30.2%)Electabuzz (69.8%)ElectabuzzElectabuzz (31.4%)Magmar (68.6%)MagmarMagmar (32.6%)Pinsir (67.4%)PinsirPinsir (33.7%)Magikarp (66.3%)MagikarpMagikarp (34.9%)Eevee (65.1%)EeveeEevee (36%)Omanyte (64%)OmanyteOmanyte (37.2%)Kabuto (62.8%)KabutoKabuto (38.4%)Chikorita (61.6%)ChikoritaChikorita (39.5%)Cyndaquil (60.5%)CyndaquilCyndaquil (40.7%)Totodile (59.3%)TotodileTotodile (41.9%)Chinchou (58.1%)ChinchouChinchou (43%)Sudowoodo (57%)SudowoodoSudowoodo (44.2%)Aipom (55.8%)AipomAipom (45.3%)Yanma (54.7%)YanmaYanma (46.5%)Misdreavus (53.5%)MisdreavusMisdreavus (47.7%)Wobbuffet (52.3%)WobbuffetWobbuffet (48.8%)Girafarig (51.2%)GirafarigGirafarig (50%)Dunsparce (50%)DunsparceDunsparce (51.2%)Snubbull (48.8%)SnubbullSnubbull (52.3%)Qwilfish (47.7%)QwilfishQwilfish (53.5%)Shuckle (46.5%)ShuckleShuckle (54.7%)Sneasel (45.3%)SneaselSneasel (55.8%)Teddiursa (44.2%)TeddiursaTeddiursa (57%)Swinub (43%)SwinubSwinub (58.1%)Mantine (41.9%)MantineMantine (59.3%)Skarmory (40.7%)SkarmorySkarmory (60.5%)Phanpy (39.5%)PhanpyPhanpy (61.6%)Stantler (38.4%)StantlerStantler (62.8%)Treecko (37.2%)TreeckoTreecko (64%)Torchic (36%)TorchicTorchic (65.1%)Mudkip (34.9%)MudkipMudkip (66.3%)Poochyena (33.7%)PoochyenaPoochyena (67.4%)Seedot (32.6%)SeedotSeedot (68.6%)Wingull (31.4%)WingullWingull (69.8%)Surskit (30.2%)SurskitSurskit (70.9%)Shroomish (29.1%)ShroomishShroomish (72.1%)Makuhita (27.9%)MakuhitaMakuhita (73.3%)Nosepass (26.7%)NosepassNosepass (74.4%)Skitty (25.6%)SkittySkitty (75.6%)Sableye (24.4%)SableyeSableye (76.7%)Meditite (23.3%)MedititeMeditite (77.9%)Electrike (22.1%)ElectrikeElectrike (79.1%)Plusle (20.9%)PluslePlusle (80.2%)Minun (19.8%)MinunMinun (81.4%)Carvanha (18.6%)CarvanhaCarvanha (82.6%)Wailmer (17.4%)WailmerWailmer (83.7%)Numel (16.3%)NumelNumel (84.9%)Spoink (15.1%)SpoinkSpoink (86%)Swablu (14%)SwabluSwablu (87.2%)Corphish (12.8%)CorphishCorphish (88.4%)Baltoy (11.6%)BaltoyBaltoy (89.5%)Lileep (10.5%)LileepLileep (90.7%)Anorith (9.3%)AnorithAnorith (91.9%)Shuppet (8.1%)ShuppetShuppet (93%)Duskull (7%)DuskullDuskull (94.2%)Luvdisc (5.8%)LuvdiscLuvdisc (95.3%)Turtwig (4.7%)TurtwigTurtwig (96.5%)Chimchar (3.5%)ChimcharChimchar (97.7%)Piplup (2.3%)PiplupPiplup (98.8%)Bidoof (1.2%)BidoofBidoof (100%)NAAnd here's with both Pikachu and Aipom removed:oldNestingSpeciesNewNestingSpecies1NewNestingSpecies2BulbasaurBulbasaur (100%)NACharmanderBulbasaur (2.4%)Charmander (97.6%)SquirtleCharmander (4.7%)Squirtle (95.3%)PikachuSquirtle (7.1%)Clefairy (92.9%)ClefairyClefairy (9.4%)Vulpix (90.6%)VulpixVulpix (11.8%)Oddish (88.2%)OddishOddish (14.1%)Psyduck (85.9%)PsyduckPsyduck (16.5%)Growlithe (83.5%)GrowlitheGrowlithe (18.8%)Poliwag (81.2%)PoliwagPoliwag (21.2%)Abra (78.8%)AbraAbra (23.5%)Machop (76.5%)MachopMachop (25.9%)Tentacool (74.1%)TentacoolTentacool (28.2%)Ponyta (71.8%)PonytaPonyta (30.6%)Magnemite (69.4%)MagnemiteMagnemite (32.9%)Doduo (67.1%)DoduoDoduo (35.3%)Seel (64.7%)SeelSeel (37.6%)Shellder (62.4%)ShellderShellder (40%)Gastly (60%)GastlyGastly (42.4%)Onix (57.6%)OnixOnix (44.7%)Voltorb (55.3%)VoltorbVoltorb (47.1%)Exeggcute (52.9%)ExeggcuteExeggcute (49.4%)Cubone (50.6%)CuboneCubone (51.8%)Rhyhorn (48.2%)RhyhornRhyhorn (54.1%)Horsea (45.9%)HorseaHorsea (56.5%)Scyther (43.5%)ScytherScyther (58.8%)Jynx (41.2%)JynxJynx (61.2%)Electabuzz (38.8%)ElectabuzzElectabuzz (63.5%)Magmar (36.5%)MagmarMagmar (65.9%)Pinsir (34.1%)PinsirPinsir (68.2%)Magikarp (31.8%)MagikarpMagikarp (70.6%)Eevee (29.4%)EeveeEevee (72.9%)Omanyte (27.1%)OmanyteOmanyte (75.3%)Kabuto (24.7%)KabutoKabuto (77.6%)Chikorita (22.4%)ChikoritaChikorita (80%)Cyndaquil (20%)CyndaquilCyndaquil (82.4%)Totodile (17.6%)TotodileTotodile (84.7%)Chinchou (15.3%)ChinchouChinchou (87.1%)Sudowoodo (12.9%)SudowoodoSudowoodo (89.4%)Yanma (10.6%)AipomYanma (91.8%)Misdreavus (8.2%)YanmaMisdreavus (94.1%)Wobbuffet (5.9%)MisdreavusWobbuffet (96.5%)Girafarig (3.5%)WobbuffetGirafarig (98.8%)Dunsparce (1.2%)GirafarigDunsparce (100%)NADunsparceDunsparce (1.2%)Snubbull (98.8%)SnubbullSnubbull (3.5%)Qwilfish (96.5%)QwilfishQwilfish (5.9%)Shuckle (94.1%)ShuckleShuckle (8.2%)Sneasel (91.8%)SneaselSneasel (10.6%)Teddiursa (89.4%)TeddiursaTeddiursa (12.9%)Swinub (87.1%)SwinubSwinub (15.3%)Mantine (84.7%)MantineMantine (17.6%)Skarmory (82.4%)SkarmorySkarmory (20%)Phanpy (80%)PhanpyPhanpy (22.4%)Stantler (77.6%)StantlerStantler (24.7%)Treecko (75.3%)TreeckoTreecko (27.1%)Torchic (72.9%)TorchicTorchic (29.4%)Mudkip (70.6%)MudkipMudkip (31.8%)Poochyena (68.2%)PoochyenaPoochyena (34.1%)Seedot (65.9%)SeedotSeedot (36.5%)Wingull (63.5%)WingullWingull (38.8%)Surskit (61.2%)SurskitSurskit (41.2%)Shroomish (58.8%)ShroomishShroomish (43.5%)Makuhita (56.5%)MakuhitaMakuhita (45.9%)Nosepass (54.1%)NosepassNosepass (48.2%)Skitty (51.8%)SkittySkitty (50.6%)Sableye (49.4%)SableyeSableye (52.9%)Meditite (47.1%)MedititeMeditite (55.3%)Electrike (44.7%)ElectrikeElectrike (57.6%)Plusle (42.4%)PluslePlusle (60%)Minun (40%)MinunMinun (62.4%)Carvanha (37.6%)CarvanhaCarvanha (64.7%)Wailmer (35.3%)WailmerWailmer (67.1%)Numel (32.9%)NumelNumel (69.4%)Spoink (30.6%)SpoinkSpoink (71.8%)Swablu (28.2%)SwabluSwablu (74.1%)Corphish (25.9%)CorphishCorphish (76.5%)Baltoy (23.5%)BaltoyBaltoy (78.8%)Lileep (21.2%)LileepLileep (81.2%)Anorith (18.8%)AnorithAnorith (83.5%)Shuppet (16.5%)ShuppetShuppet (85.9%)Duskull (14.1%)DuskullDuskull (88.2%)Luvdisc (11.8%)LuvdiscLuvdisc (90.6%)Turtwig (9.4%)TurtwigTurtwig (92.9%)Chimchar (7.1%)ChimcharChimchar (95.3%)Piplup (4.7%)PiplupPiplup (97.6%)Bidoof (2.4%)BidoofBidoof (100%)NAI am confident now that I have posted these that Niantic will probably switch up the nesting list in some way I couldn't even predict...Edit: For those curious, the R script for making one of the tables is located here, if you'd like to predict your own forced nest migrations. (And know R. But everyone should learn R!)http://bit.ly/2J5xpZ3 via /r/TheSilphRoad http://bit.ly/2Wxz64E