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"(Possible) Forced Migration Prediction Model for Detective Pikachu Event"


#PokemonGO: I saw some chatter about the possibility of Pikachu being removed from the nesting species pool when the Detective Pikachu event starts tomorrow. This is because, last time that a costumed Pikachu appeared in the Photobomb feature, Pikachu was removed from the nesting pool; since we are once again getting a costumed Pikachu in Photobombs, it is not unreasonable to expect Pikachu to be removed again. This will cause a forced migration, which I have modeled below!A couple of notes:1) This is reliant upon Pikachu being removed from the nesting pool and NO OTHER MODIFICATIONS BEING MADE. If any other or no modifications at all are made, obviously this will not be accurate.2) Each row should add up to 100%. Any errors is either rounding, or me being sleepy while typing.3) Right before posting this I realized that this EXACT model was already created by u/dwbapst for the exact same situation (Pikachu being removed) so, I basically did all this work for nothing. BUT, practice for next time I guess! As a note while I'm at it, they are the primary nest migration modeler, and this style is literally based on their styles. I wasn't intending to lift their work this time, so I wanna make sure the credit is given to them!Hopefully this helps you navigate tomorrow/today's possible forcedOld Nesting SpeciesNew Nesting Species 1New Nesting Species 2BulbasaurxxxBulbasaur (100%)CharmanderBulbasaur (1.16%)Charmander (98.8%)SquirtleCharmander (2.33%)Squirtle (97.67%)PikachuSquirtle (3.48%)Clefairy (96.51%)ClefairyClefairy (4.65%)Vulpix (95.34%)VulpixVulpix (5.81%)Oddish (94.18%)OddishOddish (6.98%)Psyduck (93.02%)PsyduckPsyduck (8.14%)Growlithe (91.86%)GrowlitheGrowlithe (9.30%)Poliwag (90.70%)PoliwagPoliwag (10.46%)Abra (89.54%)AbraAbra (11.62%)Machop (88.37%)MachopMachop (12.79%)Tentacool (87.21%)TentacoolTentacool (13.95%)Ponyta (86.04%)PonytaPonyta (15.12%)Magnemite (84.88%)MagnemiteMagnemite (16.28%)Doduo (83.72%)DoduoDoduo (17.44%)Seel (82.56%)SeelSeel (18.61%)Shellder (81.39%)ShellderShellder (19.76%)Gastly (80.23%)GastlyGastly (20.93%)Onix (79.07%)OnixOnix (22.09%)Voltorb (77.91%)VoltorbVoltorb (23.56%)Exeggcute (76.74%)ExeggcuteExeggcute (24.42%)Cubone (75.58%)CuboneCubone (25.58%)Rhyhorn (74.41%)RhyhornRhyhorn (26.74%)Horsea (73.26%)HorseaHorsea (27.91%)Scyther (72.09%)ScytherScyther (29.07%)Jynx (70.93%)JynxJynx (30.23%)Electabuzz (69.77%)ElectabuzzElectabuzz (31.40%)Magmar (68.60%)MagmarMagmar (32.56%)Pinsir (67.44%)PinsirPinsir (33.72%)Magikarp (66.28%)MagikarpMagikarp (34.88%)Eevee (65.11%)EeveeEevee (36.04%)Omanyte (63.95%)OmanyteOmanyte (37.21%)Kabuto (62.79%)KabutoKabuto (38.37%)Chikorita (61.62%)ChikoritaChikorita (39.53%)Cyndaquil (60.47%)CyndaquilCyndaquil (40.7%)Totodile (59.3%)TotodileTotodile (41.86%)Chinchou (58.14%)ChinchouChinchou (43.02%)Sudowoodo (56.98%)SudowoodoSudowoodo (44.19%)Aipom (55.81%)AipomAipom (45.35%)Yanma (54.65%)YanmaYanma (46.51%)Misdreavus (53.49%)MisdreavusMisdreavus (47.67%)Wobbuffet (52.33%)WobbuffetWobbuffet (48.84%)Girafarig (51.16%)GirafarigGirafarig (50%)Dunsparce (50%)DunsparceDunsparce (51.16%)Snubbull (48.84%)SnubbullSnubbull (52.33%)Qwilfish (47.67%)QwilfishQwilfish (53.49%)Shuckle (46.51%)ShuckleShuckle (54.65%)Sneasel (45.35%)SneaselSneasel (55.8%)Teddiursa (44.2%)TeddiursaTeddiursa (56.98%)Swinub (43.02%)SwinubSwinub (58.14%)Mantine (41.86%)MantineMantine (59.3%)Skarmory (40.7%)SkarmorySkarmory (60.47%)Phanpy (39.53%)PhanpyPhanpy (61.63%)Stantler (38.37%)StantlerStantler (62.79%)Treecko (37.21%)TreeckoTreecko (63.95%)Torchic (36.05%)TorchicTorchic (65.12%)Mudkip (34.88%)MudkipMudkip (66.28%)Poochyena (33.72%)PoochyenaPoochyena (67.44%)Seedot (32.56%)SeedotSeedot (68.60%)Wingull (31.40%)WingullWingull (69.77%)Surskit (30.23%)SurskitSurskit (70.93%)Shroomish (29.07%)ShroomishShroomish (72.09%)Makuhita (27.91%)MakuhitaMakuhita (73.26%)Nosepass (26.74%)NosepassNosepass (74.42%)Skitty (25.58%)SkittySkitty (75.58%)Sableye (24.42%)SableyeSableye (76.74%)Meditite (23.09%)MedititeMeditite (77.9%)Electrike (22.1%)ElectrikeElectrike (79.07%)Plusle (20.93%)PluslePlusle (80.23%)Minun (19.77%)MinunMinun (81.40%)Carvanha (18.60%)CarvanhaCarvanha (82.56%)Wailmer (17.44%)WailmerWailmer (83.72%)Numel (16.28%)NumelNumel (84.88%)Spoink (15.12%)SpoinkSpoink (86.05%)Swablu (13.95%)SwabluSwablu (87.21%)Corphish (12.79%)CorphishCorphish (88.37%)Baltoy (11.63%)BaltoyBaltoy (89.53%)Lileep (10.47%)LileepLileep (90.70%)Anorith (9.30%)AnorithAnorith (91.86%)Shuppet (8.14%)ShuppetShuppet (93.02%)Duskull (6.98%)DuskullDuskull (94.19%)Luvdisc (5.81%)LuvdiscLuvdisc (95.35%)Turtwig (4.65%)TurtwigTurtwig (96.51%)Chimchar (3.49%)ChimcharChimchar (97.67%)Piplup (2.33%)PiplupPiplup (98.84%)Bidoof (1.16%)BidoofBidoof (100%)xxx via /r/TheSilphRoad http://bit.ly/2Ws6jyl
"(Possible) Forced Migration Prediction Model for Detective Pikachu Event" "(Possible) Forced Migration Prediction Model for Detective Pikachu Event" Reviewed by The Pokémonger on 23:08 Rating: 5

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