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"The recent event might give us a new insight in egg mechanisms"


#PokemonGO: (Just read these few lines before insta-downvoting just because of eggs; there are even sources at the bottom. Feel free to do it after reading.)I am on TheSilphRoad since the game came out and have never seen a post that could really confirm mechanics of pokestops giving out eggs. Of course, I can neither do that, but yesterday, we made an interesting observation in a group of five. All of us were down to 1 or 2 eggs when we headed towards the city, so we got all new eggs (rural players, yes it is possible to run out of eggs from time to time). There, we walked several kilometers, using all the incubators we hoarded to hatch 25-30 eggs per player while battling all the gyms with known spoofers and double-accounts.What we could observe was, that everyone of us got an incredible amount of 10km-eggs. There have been about 60 of them in a sample size of ~140. I know that this could be absolutely random, but I think there is at least a bit of statistic behind this. We did this kind of trips a few times now and everyone of us walked like crazy for the last five months, hatching up to 500 eggs solely with the infinite incubator so we know at least a bit about hatches or frequencies.What might me concluded is: Each egg you get from spinning a stop is taken out of the pool of all hatchable eggs with according probabilities. The game doesn't differ between 2,5 and 10km eggs. Other (often read on this subreddit) theories stated that the game first decides the distance according to a certain distribution and then the hatched Pokemon upon receiving the egg from the stop.Why this might be concluded: If above assumption is correct, it is clear why we all got absurd amounts of 10km eggs. Just because the possibilities for all gen2-Pokemon got increased. I just counted: from Kanto, there were 15 possible pokemon to get from 10km eggs, 41 from 5km eggs and 14 from 2km-eggs, ignoring regionals but still counting adults that got removed. From Johto, the distribution is 3-2-2. So as all of the seven new eggs get greater weighting, clearly the probability of 2- and especially 10km eggs increases.Remarks: unfortunately but consequentially, most of our hatches from the purple eggs were babies, we also got a whole lot of 2km eggs. There were no stops giving out the same Pokemon for everyone at the same time.Other people who have seen the same thing or state the same theory in the last days on TSR: (mostly in coments)Link1Link2Link3It is 2am and I am too lazy to search for more links, but I've read this often enough to make a post out of it now. I don't know if this assumption is right, but I decided to give it a shot and share this with you. If we are on something here this would be cool, if not I can still delete this post later. Do you guys share our experience? Especially those of you who hatched a lot of eggs in the last days? And how about the people who were lucky/unlucky enough to only get old Pokemon? Is there anything you can contribute to this?Edits: minor text fixes and formatting. via /r/TheSilphRoad http://ift.tt/2hqas0m
"The recent event might give us a new insight in egg mechanisms" "The recent event might give us a new insight in egg mechanisms" Reviewed by The Pokémonger on 18:06 Rating: 5

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