"Friendly reminder that this sub does not reflect reality (or: why Rhyhorn is not as likely to win as you think)"

#PokemonGO: Everyone here has probably seen the CD voting announcement by now. Like many, I'm speculating about the possibilities and reading about what others have to say. But what I've seen is a lot of people who seem to believe that the PoGo player base will think and vote similarly to how this sub does.Why do I say this? There's a lot of hype around a potential Rock Wrecker Rhyperior being a very strong Rock-type. But Rhyhorn is probably not the favorite outside of this sub, and expecting a Rhyhorn CD is setting yourself up for disappointment. Put otherwise, this sub is not at all representative of what casual players think.Casual players love shinies that look pretty. Casual players love cute Pokemon like Vulpix and Dratini. Casual players don't care about meta relevance. Casual players don't know what DPS and TDO are.Hell, casual players might not even know what moves their Pokemon have, leave alone whether Rock Wrecker is better or worse than Stone Edge. How many times have you seen raid lobbies filled with people using what were clearly the Recommended teams?Here are some of the dozens of examples that I've seen today of this sub being a bubble:The Strawpoll from earlier has 62% of the vote for Rhyhorn.I feel like Rhyhorn is the obvious choiceIt'll probably be RhyhornFrom Gamepress:The February 2020 Community Day Voting was just announced, and already the long-awaited Rock Wrecker Rhyperior seems the definite front-runner!From the post about the Gamepress analysis:The community is buzzing with speculation about February's community day right now, but one fact seems certain: Rhyperior is the favored to win!There are a couple voices of sanity:Take this poll with a grain of salt. The majority of visitors on TSR are well aware of the meta-relevance of Pokemon, and are long-time players who've already snagged shiny versions of the repeats on the list. So even if Rhyhorn wins by a mile here, that doesn't mean it won't lose in February when the abundance of casual players get the opportunity to vote.And another thread (which I participated in) talking about how even though PVE (raids) is something that most people do, that likely has no bearing on who gets selected:I can assure you that most of the Pokemon Go playerbase have absolutely no idea what moves are and what difference Rock Wrecker makes over Stone Edge. TSR itself constitutes of only a small portion of players, and even on TSR you occasionally see someone who claims they don't care about the meta because they don't do raids, always have 20 people in the lobby, etc.In conclusion: this sub is not representative of reality. Rhyhorn is the obvious favorite on TSR, but that says nothing about its actual chances of winning the CD vote. It still might--and I'd love another great Rock-type too!--but please don't delude yourself this early. via /r/TheSilphRoad https://ift.tt/2RGoaAx